Zcash Price Prediction: After a 1,000% Rally, Is This Just a Dip or Is the Bull Market Over?

By: crypto insight|2025/12/11 23:00:08
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Key Takeaways

  • Zcash has experienced a significant rally, boasting a 1000% increase, making it a subject of interest for crypto investors.
  • Recent market fluctuations have led to a 45% drop, yet technical indicators suggest a potential rebound.
  • The growing relevance of privacy coins in institutional settings underpins Zcash’s potential upward trajectory.
  • The emergence of platforms like SUBBD could redefine markets, highlighting the importance of privacy and decentralization in the crypto landscape.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-11 14:47:14

The cryptocurrency market is often synonymous with unpredictability, and Zcash’s recent journey perfectly encapsulates this volatility. For many in the crypto sphere, Zcash (ZEC) has captured attention due to its extraordinary rally, achieving a remarkable 1000% upward trend. However, the pertinent question remains: is this dramatic rally merely a temporary correction, or does it mark the end of a bullish phase?

With an ongoing market that never ceases to surprise, understanding the underlying dynamics behind Zcash’s performance is essential. This article aims to unpack these elements, offering insights into what might lie ahead for this once niche privacy coin that is now gaining broader acceptance amid the evolving financial landscape.

Unpacking the Zcash Surge: Driving Forces and Market Reaction

Zcash’s spectacular rise can be attributed to several pivotal factors. As a privacy-focused altcoin, Zcash provides unique functionalities not common in other cryptocurrencies. Notably, it ensures encryption of transaction data, thus offering anonymity to its users. This aspect has become increasingly appealing in an age where digital privacy is ever more scrutinized.

The recent downturn in the broader crypto market saw Zcash’s price retract by about 45%. This dip, while significant, aligns with the general market sentiment shift that has pivoted from privacy coins to broader macroeconomic and geopolitical concerns. However, within the past week, technical indicators have pointed toward a potential change in Zcash’s trajectory. The breakout from a descending channel, a critical technical pattern, might indicate that the recent price drop is merely a temporary setback rather than a collapse.

The narrative of privacy coins like Zcash is finding new relevance in today’s market cycles, especially with increased institutional interest in such features. Privacy, once considered a niche interest within the cryptocurrency world, is gaining traction as institutions require secure, yet compliant privacy solutions. This demand is likely due to burgeoning financial technologies like blockchain becoming more integrated with traditional finance (TradFi) systems. Consequently, products like the Grayscale Zcash Trust have emerged, signifying the market’s acknowledgment of Zcash’s utility.

Technical Indicators: Predicting Potential Movements

To predict Zcash’s future, it’s essential to pay close attention to the technical analysis that forms the backbone of crypto trading. A promising setup has emerged, signaling that the recent market adjustments might fuel a bullish pennant continuation pattern. This implies that the downturn could be a consolidation phase within a more extensive upward movement.

The breakout from the descending channel sets the stage for a potentially pivotal price rally. The momentum indicators support this optimism. Key metrics, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are approaching a cross above the neutral 50 line, suggesting that the buying power is starting to outweigh selling pressure. Alongside, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is nearing a golden cross above the signal line, reinforcing the notion that buyers could be driving a new trend.

The critical mark for confirming such a breakout sits near the all-time high of $745. Breaching this level would not only pave the way for new price discovery but could also push prices towards a pennant target of $4,750—a futuristic yet plausible 1000% gain mirrored by its past performance. However, achieving this ambitious target is contingent upon Zcash’s successful transition and adoption within Web-2 to Web-3 frameworks through TradFi associations and institutional balance sheets.

Institutional Interest and the Bridging to Web3

Zcash’s potential to scale new heights is intrinsically linked to its capacity to seamlessly integrate into the Web3 ecosystem, aligning with institutional finance. As privacy and compliance converge, Zcash’s infrastructure offers a promising alternative for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications tailored to institutional use.

TradFi’s adoption of cryptocurrencies like Zcash could signal a paradigm shift, where the financial ecosystem no longer merely acknowledges cryptocurrency but actively integrates it into existing frameworks. This market shift towards privacy-enhanced financial products aligns with broader trends, highlighting the utility of Zcash beyond speculation. Such advancements could redefine its market positioning, allowing it to tap into untapped institutional demand, potentially catalyzing another phase of rapid growth.

How SUBBD Marks a Change in Market Dynamics

Concurrently, within the crypto domain, new platforms are amplifying the discussion around privacy and decentralized solutions. SUBBD, an AI-driven content platform, exemplifies this shift by transforming the $85 billion subscriber economy. By prioritizing creator ownership and value, SUBBD leverages blockchain technology to offer decentralized solutions while prioritizing privacy.

The platform has successfully raised $1.3 million in presale, indicating substantial market interest. As regulation amplifies the need for privacy-centric narratives, SUBBD, alongside platforms like Zcash, are increasingly positioned at the forefront of decentralized market innovations. With creators gaining control and fans accessing exclusive content, SUBBD not only underlines the value of decentralization but also embraces the ethos upon which blockchain technology was founded.

The Future Outlook for Zcash: Bull Run Possibilities

Looking forward, Zcash’s trajectory is not just a matter of speculative gains but a reflection of its evolving role within the financial landscape. As the cryptocurrency sphere becomes a dynamic mosaic influenced by regulatory shifts, technological advances, and macroeconomic trends, Zcash stands at the forefront as a potentially revolutionary asset.

Nevertheless, it is crucial for investors and enthusiasts to realize that investments in cryptocurrencies are inherently risky. Although technical indicators and institutional interest hint at a promising future, such assets can also experience significant volatility and unforeseen challenges.

What Lies Ahead for Zcash and Privacy Coins?

In conclusion, Zcash’s recent performance is a microcosm of the broader dynamics affecting cryptocurrencies today. The balance between privacy and compliance, institutional interest, and technical potential are central to understanding Zcash’s future. While the previous rally showcased Zcash’s potential to deliver substantial returns, it’s the coin’s long-term strategic positioning that will likely determine if it will once again reach those heights.

The crypto world is continually evolving, with narratives around privacy, decentralization, and compliance playing increasingly pivotal roles. As more institutions embrace blockchain solutions, coins like Zcash are poised to appeal to audiences seeking innovative, secure financial products. Whether this recent dip is an intermolecular pause or a precursor to new growth waves involves a delicate mix of market mechanics, regulatory developments, and technological adoption.

In this dynamic environment, Zcash remains a compelling watch for those closely monitoring the symbiotic evolution between crypto and traditional financial systems.

FAQs

What are the key drivers behind Zcash’s recent rally?

Zcash’s rally can be attributed to its unique privacy-centric functionality, which offers transaction anonymity—an attractive feature in today’s increasingly privacy-aware market. This, combined with institutional interest and potential integration into Web3 and TradFi systems, supports its rise.

How does Zcash compare to other privacy coins?

Zcash distinguishes itself in the privacy coin market by ensuring transaction data is encrypted, offering superior anonymity compared to many other cryptocurrencies. Its engagement with institutions seeking compliant privacy solutions bolsters its standing significantly.

What technical indicators are crucial for predicting Zcash’s movement?

Key technical indicators to watch include the RSI and MACD. These indicators can provide insights into market momentum, suggesting when buying pressure might surpass selling pressure, signaling potential trends.

What role do privacy narratives play in the market today?

Privacy narratives are increasingly significant due to rising regulatory scrutiny. Coins that offer privacy-centric solutions positioned within compliance frameworks are gaining traction, driven by data protection debates and institutional demand.

How does the emergence of platforms like SUBBD impact the crypto landscape?

Platforms like SUBBD highlight the transformative potential of blockchain technology in markets beyond finance. By focusing on value ownership and decentralization, they represent market shifts towards privacy-focused, user-centric models that align with the ethos of crypto innovation.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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