The "Yearn Finance" Effect: Cryptocurrency Funds Experience the Calm Before the Dawn

By: blockbeats|2025/04/27 20:05:17
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Original Article Title: "The Undercurrent of the 'Vintage' Effect: Crypto Funds Face the Calm Before the Dawn"
Original Article Author: Zen, PANews

Originally, "Vintage" referred to the "vintage" of wine, where a good vintage is a natural gift to humanity, while a bad vintage is constrained by weather and soil, unable to hide its flaws. In funds, the "establishment year" is usually referred to as Vintage, just as the vintage of wine is a reflection of the "terroir," the fund's vintage is more of an economic cycle snapshot, directly impacting returns.

For crypto funds established during the era of monetary easing amid the pandemic, they are currently experiencing the painful backlash from a "bad vintage."

Born in a Bubble, Dies in a Bubble

Recently, investors of crypto funds have been lamenting on social media. The cause was when the Web3 fund ABCDE announced that this $400 million fund would no longer be investing in new projects and would not be raising funds for a second phase. The founder of the fund, Du Jun, stated that over the past three years, ABCDE has invested in over 30 projects with funds exceeding $40 million, and despite the current unfavorable market conditions, its internal rate of return (IRR) remains at a globally leading level.

ABCDE hitting the pause button on investments reflects the current dilemma faced by crypto VCs: institutional fundraising sizes and project investment enthusiasm are both declining, token listing lockup models are frequently being questioned, flexible investors are even hedging their portfolios through secondary markets and hedging operations. Amidst high macro interest rates, regulatory uncertainties, and internal industry challenges, crypto VCs are going through their most severe adjustment period to date. Especially for crypto funds established around 2021, the current environment has intensified the difficulty of their exit strategy.

Bill Qian, co-founder of Cypher Capital, disclosed the performance of the funds they invested in, stating, "We invested in 10+ VC funds in this cycle, all GPs are excellent, all capturing top projects. But for our investment in the entire VC fund (as LPs), we have already done a 60% accounting write-down, hoping to eventually recover 40% of the principal; sometimes, you haven't done anything wrong, you just lost to time and vintage." However, he is optimistic about the next cycle of crypto VCs because extremes must reverse. It's like the web2 VCs of 2000 experiencing a total collapse in Silicon Valley, but the following vintages turned out to be good years for nurturing and investing in innovation.

The "Capital Frenzy" from 2021 to 2022, in addition to the industry's continuous creativity, was driven by the prosperity of DeFi, NFTs, and blockchain games, boosting market sentiment. It was also related to the special backdrop of the times—affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, many central banks around the world implemented large-scale quantitative easing and zero interest rates during this period, leading to global liquidity flooding. "Hot money" sought high-yield assets, and this environment, referred to by academia and industry as the "Everything Bubble," led to the rise of the cryptocurrency industry as one of the important beneficiaries.

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Facing such a trend, cryptocurrency venture capital firms that easily accessed funds began to play a game of "carrying the sedan chair," making large-scale bets on conceptual racetracks with less rational analysis of the projects' intrinsic value. Similar to the technology stock bubble, this frenzy of investment detached from fundamentals and short-term uptrends is essentially "expectation pricing" under ultra-low funding costs. Cryptocurrency VCs poured a large amount of funds into overvalued projects, thus planting hidden risks.

Drawing from traditional equity incentive mechanisms, token locking mechanisms aim to prevent project teams and early investors from selling off their tokens in the short term by gradually releasing tokens over the long term, thereby protecting ecosystem stability and retail investor interests. Common design mechanisms include "1-year cliff period + 3-year linear release" or even longer 5–10-year lock-ups to prevent the team and VCs from cashing out before the project matures. This design itself is not a big issue, especially for the cryptocurrency industry that has experienced years of rapid growth. To dispel concerns about wrongdoing by project teams and VCs, restraint through token locking is considered an effective method to boost investor confidence.

However, when the Federal Reserve began tapering and raising interest rates in 2022, liquidity quickly tightened, and the cryptocurrency industry's bubble burst. As these overvalued valuations rapidly fell back, the market entered a "value regression" painful stage. The cryptocurrency VCs who reaped what they sowed also gradually fell into their "darkest hours"—many institutions not only suffered heavy losses in early investments but also faced questions from retail investors who mistakenly believed they had made substantial returns.

According to STIX founder Taran Sabharwal's recent data, among the projects tracked, nearly all projects experienced a significant drop in valuation, with SCR and BLAST even showing year-on-year drops of 85% and 88%, respectively. Multiple data indicates that many cryptocurrency VCs committed to lock-up positions may have missed better exit opportunities in the secondary market last year. This forced them to seek alternative paths—Bloomberg reported that several VCs and market makers collaborated in secret to hedge the lock-up risk through derivatives and short positions, profiting in a declining market.

In a weak market, fundraising for new crypto funds is equally challenging. A report from Galaxy Digital shows that despite an increase in the number of new funds throughout 2024, it was the softest year for crypto venture capital funding since 2020 on an annualized basis, with 79 new funds raising $5.1 billion in total, far below the frenzy levels seen during the bull market from 2021 to 2022.

According to a research article previously published by PANews, incomplete statistics suggest that in the first half of 2022, there were 107 Web3-related investment funds launched, with a total amount reaching as high as $39.9 billion.

Meme and Bitcoin ETF Fund Flows

Against the backdrop of the industry lacking a clear product narrative and tangible use cases, the community is beginning to rely on Memes to generate topics and traffic. Meme tokens, with the allure of the "get rich quick" myth, have repeatedly triggered trading frenzies, siphoning off a large amount of short-term speculative capital.

These Meme projects often experience rapid hype cycles but lack sustained support. As the on-chain "casino-ization" narrative continues to spread, Meme tokens are starting to dominate market liquidity, capturing user attention and capital allocation focus. This has led to some truly promising Web3 projects being squeezed and overshadowed, with both their visibility and access to resources limited.

Meanwhile, some hedge funds have also begun to seek entry into the Memecoin market to capture excess returns brought by high volatility. This includes the venture capital firm Stratos supported by a16z co-founder Marc Andreessen. The hedge fund launched a liquid fund holding the Solana-based meme coin WIF, delivering a substantial 137% return in the first quarter of 2024.

Aside from memes, another significant event in the crypto industry—the launch of a Bitcoin spot ETF—may also be a potential reason for the altcoin market slump and VC struggles.

Since the approval of the first batch of Bitcoin spot ETFs in January 2024, institutions and retail investors have been able to directly invest in Bitcoin through regulated channels, with traditional Wall Street asset management giants joining in. In the three days following the ETF launch, nearly $2 billion in funds flowed in, significantly enhancing Bitcoin's market position and liquidity. This further strengthens Bitcoin's attributes as "digital gold," attracting a broader range of traditional financial participants.

However, with the emergence of a Bitcoin ETF, a more convenient and cost-effective compliant investment path has been provided, and the industry's original fund circulation logic has begun to change. A large amount of funds that might have originally flowed into early-stage venture capital funds or altcoins chose to stay in ETF products, transitioning to passive holding. This not only disrupted the past fund rotation rhythm of altcoins catching up after Bitcoin's rise, but also increasingly decoupled Bitcoin from other tokens in terms of price trends and market narrative.

Under the continued effect of the siphon effect, Bitcoin's dominant position in the entire crypto market continues to rise. According to TradingView data, as of April 22, Bitcoin's market dominance (BTC.D) has risen to 64.61%, hitting a new high since February 2021. This indicates that Bitcoin's position as the "institutional main entrance" is becoming more consolidated.

The impact of this trend is multi-faceted: traditional capital is increasingly focused on Bitcoin, making it difficult for Web3 entrepreneurial projects to receive sufficient funding attention; and for early VCs, the exit channel for project tokens is limited, secondary market liquidity is weak, leading to extended return cycles, difficulties in realizing gains, and the need to contract investment pace or even pause investments.

Furthermore, the external environment is equally challenging: high interest rates and increasingly tight liquidity make LPs hesitate to allocate to high-risk assets, while regulatory policies are evolving but still need improvement.

As Rui from Hashkey Capital wrote on Twitter: Will there be a counterattack as epic as in 2020? Many friends have a pessimistic attitude, so they are leaving one after another. Their logic is very simple and effective. On the one hand, all the users who should enter have entered, everyone is used to the casino's gameplay, used to the concept of pumping and dumping to define project quality, just like being used to shorting ETH. Users' attributes have been shaped. On the other hand, it is difficult for us to see the emergence of large-scale applications at the chain level. Various fields such as Social, Gaming, and ID have all been "restructured" by Crypto, but in the end, everyone finds it a mess, making it difficult to find new Infra opportunities and new limitless imagination.

Under multiple pressures, the "dark moment" of crypto VCs is likely to continue for quite some time.

Original Article Link

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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