Pump.fun is Trading 29.22% Above Our Price Prediction for December 15, 2025

By: crypto insight|2025/12/12 16:00:08
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Key Takeaways:

  • Pump.fun is currently trading 29.22% above the predicted price for December 15, 2025, indicating short-term positive performance despite an overall bearish trend.
  • Over the past month, Pump.fun has experienced a significant drop of 31.81%, highlighting its volatility within the cryptocurrency market.
  • The current sentiment for Pump.fun is bearish, as indicated by multiple technical analysis tools, suggesting potential further price drops.
  • Despite current negative sentiment, Pump.fun recently experienced 12 green days, illustrating some resilience amidst broader market fears.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-12 07:45:42

In the rapidly evolving world of cryptocurrency, Pump.fun stands out with its unpredictable price movements and fluctuating market sentiment. As of today, Pump.fun is trading at $0.002974, a notable 29.22% above the projected price for December 15, 2025. This surge suggests a short-term buoyancy against the backdrop of an overall bearish sentiment.

Analyzing the Current Market Dynamics

The total cryptocurrency market cap stands at a formidable $3.16 trillion, reflecting a slight dip of 0.77% from previous values. Within this vast market, Bitcoin continues to dominate with a share of 58.44%, though its price recently fell to $92,477, a 0.72% decrease. These movements are reflective of broader market conditions where even the most influential cryptocurrencies are not immune to fluctuations.

Pump.fun’s performance today mirrors this volatility. The token has dropped 6.20% against the US Dollar, with corresponding declines against Bitcoin and Ethereum at 4.62% and 5.98% respectively. Despite these daily losses, the coin’s current trading price is higher than anticipated projections for the coming weeks, shedding light on its unpredictable momentum.

Historical Performance and Volatility

A closer examination of Pump.fun’s market behavior over the past year indicates a persistent downward trend. The token has lost 39.21% of its value over this period, facing a broader bearish cycle that has affected its medium and short-term performance. Just last month, the coin showed a loss of 31.81%, highlighting an intense period of volatility.

Historically, Pump.fun reached its pinnacle on September 14, 2025, peaking at $0.008791. This all-time high contrasts sharply with recent market lows, where the token dipped to $0.002485, underscoring significant price fluctuations that investors need to navigate. Notably, over the last month, Pump.fun recorded high volatility with a 15.14% change, presenting both risks and opportunities for traders.

Technical Analysis: Sentiment and Key Levels

At present, the sentiment surrounding Pump.fun is predominantly bearish. The Fear & Greed index, a popular measure of market sentiment, reads at 26, signifying a prevalent atmosphere of fear. This index is crucial as it gauges investor sentiment and potential market overvaluation or hesitancy, suggesting possible strategies for cautious investors.

When delving into technical indicators, the analysis reveals a stark perspective: 13 out of 17 indicators signal a bearish outlook. This includes key moving averages and oscillators, which are critical in understanding market positioning and potential future trends.

Moving Averages and Oscillators

The hype surrounding simple and exponential moving averages underscores their importance. For Pump.fun:

  • The 3-day simple and exponential averages are $0.003106 and $0.003230 respectively, both indicating a sell signal.
  • Similarly, the 5-day averages reflect a persistent sell indication, reinforcing the bearish perspective.

Other indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for a 14-day period registers a neutral stance at 47.91, offering a potential moment of pause for investors evaluating the asset’s current valuation.

Furthermore, the Commodity Channel Index (CCI), with a reading at 66.67, and the Stochastic Fast alongside other oscillators, collectively inform the current trading dynamics. These metrics, while complex, give insight into potential price movement deviations from expected trends.

Strategic Considerations for Traders

Given the present market scenario, traders might wonder how to best navigate Pump.fun’s turbulent waters. The key lies in understanding the support and resistance levels. Currently, support levels are identified at $0.002928, $0.002791, and $0.002647—critical points that investors should monitor closely. Conversely, resistance is pegged at $0.003210, $0.003355, and $0.003492, which are pivotal areas where traders might encounter selling pressure.

A broader market analysis unveils an encompassing narrative of fear influencing decision-making. For those poised to capitalize on this atmosphere, the potential for buying opportunities emerges, as fear can often lead to undervaluation, presenting strategic entry points.

Long-term Prospects and Final Thoughts

While short-term fluctuations and bearish trends define Pump.fun’s current trajectory, cryptocurrency markets are notorious for their unpredictability. It’s essential for investors to remain informed and adaptable, paying close attention to market sentiments and technical indicators.

For those observing from the sidelines or those considering entering the market, the need for professional guidance is paramount. Navigating these volatile landscapes requires discernment and a keen understanding of both micro and macroeconomic factors. As always, prospective investors should exercise due diligence and seek professional advice when engaging with highly volatile assets like Pump.fun.

Despite the current atmosphere of caution, Pump.fun’s recent past reveals that the market can pivot, and momentous gains can occur. Therefore, while the bearish sentiment provides a snapshot of present conditions, the evolving nature of cryptocurrencies might yet offer unanticipated opportunities for informed and strategic investors.

Overall, Pump.fun presents a convoluted yet intriguing case for market enthusiasts and seasoned traders alike. Keeping a vigilant eye on significant indices and developments within the cryptocurrency space will be crucial for anyone looking to leverage its volatility for financial gain.

FAQ

What is Pump.fun currently trading at and how does that compare to predictions for December 2025?

Pump.fun is trading at $0.002974, which is 29.22% higher than predictions for December 15, 2025, of $0.002301. This variance suggests a stronger than expected short-term performance.

Why is the market sentiment for Pump.fun considered bearish?

The market sentiment is bearish due to a combination of negative technical indicators and a declining trend over recent months. Moreover, the Fear & Greed index reading at 26 suggests investor caution and pessimism.

What are the key indicators that signal Pump.fun’s market direction?

Critical indicators include moving averages, RSI, and other oscillators which collectively show a bearish inclination. Most notably, 13 out of 17 signals suggest a negative forecast, supported by sell signals in shorter-term moving averages.

How has Pump.fun performed over the past year?

Over the last year, Pump.fun has decreased by 39.21% in value and has been charting a bearish path. It faced significant volatility, with notable highs and lows, demonstrating its unpredictable nature.

What strategic moves can investors consider given Pump.fun’s current market conditions?

Investors should watch for key support and resistance levels while considering overall market sentiment indicated by the Fear & Greed index. Engaging with informed strategies and seeking professional advice is crucial given the asset’s volatility.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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