Price Action of Dogecoin and Shiba Inu Remains Muted Amid Low Holiday Liquidity

By: crypto insight|2025/12/29 14:30:11
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Key Takeaways

  • Dogecoin and Shiba Inu prices have fallen, reflecting broader market struggles.
  • DOGE remains in a narrow trading range, with $0.122 as a critical support level.
  • SHIB has broken key support levels, making it more vulnerable to downward trends.
  • The overall crypto market is driven by technical levels amid limited liquidity.
  • Understanding market dynamics can help traders navigate current conditions.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-29 06:02:54

In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies, the current state of Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) highlights a period of subdued price movements, atypical for the meme coins that usually exhibit high volatility. Trading activities in these assets, often in sync with market sentiment, are showing limited activity amid thin holiday liquidity. As of December 27, 2025, both DOGE and SHIB have seen declines, with DOGE trading at approximately $0.123 and SHIB at $0.000007165. These prices reflect the ongoing challenges in the broader cryptocurrency market, lacking the momentum of expected rebounds due to decreased trading volumes typically seen during the holiday season.

Market Context: Reflecting Broader Sentiment

Dogecoin and Shiba Inu are known for their volatility and tendency to respond sharply to changes in broader market sentiments. Historically, these “meme coins” are influenced not just by technical indicators but also by narrative-driven catalysts. However, the subdued current market conditions mean that such catalysts have taken a back seat, with technical levels being more influential in guiding price action.

The tightening of Dogecoin’s price within a narrow band and Shiba Inu’s breach of support levels indicate the critical influence of market sentiment across these tokens. Typically associated with a high-risk asset class, they mirror broader risk appetites leading into the year’s end. Bitcoin, often considered the barometer for overall crypto market health, has seen its attempts at a rebound not achieving significant traction, thus contributing to the limited market dynamics for these meme coins during U.S. trading hours.

The Technical and Liquidity Landscape

When exploring the technical landscape, the behavior of Dogecoin and Shiba Inu within specified trading ranges is notable. Dogecoin’s price is currently squeezed in a specific range, necessitating that it holds above the key support level of $0.122 to prevent further declines. The established zones of $0.1208 to $0.1220 provide crucial support, and a failure to maintain these levels could open the path to potential downside movement. For Dogecoin to attempt to break out from a bearish bias, it would need to regain footing above $0.1264 with sentiment towards buyers improving noticeably at $0.133.

In contrast, Shiba Inu has already succumbed to breaking its established support, finding itself vulnerable as it seeks the next solid ground for demand. Initially, the failure of the $0.000007145 technical level opens up the potential for further declines toward $0.00000707 unless there is increased trading volume to bolster the resistance zones in the $0.00000722 to $0.00000725 range.

Liquidity goes hand in hand with these technical dynamics, with the lack of substantial trading volume contributing significantly to muted price movements and volatility in these tokens. The thin liquidity tends to exaggerate moves when certain technical levels are breached or held. More technical and informed traders take advantage of these setups, as the lack of broader market news and narratives makes for an environment more focused on technical cues.

Understanding Market Technicalities

Analyzing the broader perspective, the market activities around Dogecoin and Shiba Inu are a function of technical precision rather than headline-market influence. This atmosphere is slightly uncommon, given the historical trend of these assets to react quickly to narrative shifts or speculative frenzy. In a more stable yet thinly traded period, technical analysis becomes critical for stakeholders interested in gauging potential future directions.

The intricacies of trading in such an environment emphasize the importance of understanding support and resistance levels, which serve as critical benchmarks. The current setup for both DOGE and SHIB underscores a broader industry trend, where traders are more inclined to react to specific price points rather than market news, notably in a tech-limited liquidity season.

A Broader Look: Impacts on the Crypto Market

This broader context of muted meme coin action highlights a few telling aspects of the current crypto environment. For one, the liquidity levels around the holiday period are significantly lower, leading to restrained performances across not just memecoins but other speculative assets as well. Moreover, these dynamics are essential for traders aiming to leverage potential movements strategically.

Furthermore, while these meme coins remain fairly reactive to crypto market ebbs and flows, their current trajectory has been conditioned by a more technical setup. Traders and analysts alike would do well to focus on the technical structures formed in these conditions to anticipate potential scenarios heading into 2026.

What Traders Should Focus On

In navigating these current challenges, traders must keep a sharp eye on the specific price levels that could denote a significant shift in sentiment or market direction. For DOGE, maintaining the support level of $0.122 is vital for forming a base, while recovering past $0.1264 could indicate a move towards a more bullish setup. In contrast, SHIB requires clawing back above $0.00000717 to prevent further bearish pressure.

Moreover, understanding that the structural breakdown SHIB has faced makes it more prone to volatility reveals its susceptibility to price pressures unless traders step in with heightened interest and volume. As bitcoin and other larger caps oscillate or struggle to gain upward momentum, these tokens’ fortunes largely are dictated by such broader movements.

Another consideration for traders in the market at this juncture is their recognition of the liquidity issue that underpins the current environment. December’s thin liquidity often portends exaggerated responses to technical signals rather than being sentiment-driven, offering specific trading opportunities.

Conclusion: Navigating Market Dynamics

The swing operations and strategies employed by traders during this phase of the market cycle for Dogecoin and Shiba Inu are grounded significantly in the technicalities and liquidity conditions. An understanding of this aspect, combined with real-time assessments of technical chart formations, provides a sagacious approach to navigating this sector.

For Dogecoin and Shiba Inu aficionados, the markets continue offering interesting challenges, pivoting toward cycles dictated by fewer narrative influences and more by well-defined support and resistance levels. The insights gleaned from this should place traders in a well-informed position as the markets transition into a new year, replete with possibility and uncertainty.

FAQs

What are the key support levels for Dogecoin and Shiba Inu?

Dogecoin has critical support levels around $0.1208 to $0.1220. Maintaining these levels prevents downside risk. For Shiba Inu, $0.000007145 is a must-hold level post its recent breach of earlier supports at $0.00000717.

Why are Dogecoin and Shiba Inu not reacting to market news?

The current market is more technical, focusing on support and resistance levels due to limited liquidity and the absence of strong narrative catalysts, which usually influence meme coin prices.

How does holiday liquidity affect cryptocurrency trading?

Low liquidity during holidays can exaggerate trading responses to technical levels and reduce volatility in reaction to news, making the market more technical and less driven by market sentiment.

What might indicate a trend change for Dogecoin?

A recovery above $0.1264 for Dogecoin could signify the beginning of bullish momentum, with further positive sentiment expected if it moves towards and surpasses the $0.133 mark.

What strategies should traders consider in a thinly liquid market?

Traders should focus on technical analytics, understanding support and resistance dynamics, and prepare for larger, sometimes exaggerated market moves due to low liquidity, particularly in meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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