Hyperliquid Price Projection: Anticipated Decline to $19.46 by December 22, 2025

By: crypto insight|2025/12/18 23:30:09
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  • Hyperliquid’s market sentiment remains overwhelmingly bearish, with a projected price drop of -22.76% in the next five days.
  • The Fear & Greed index signifies “Extreme Fear,” indicating significant investor concern and potential volatility in the market.
  • Recent performance has seen Hyperliquid underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market and Bitcoin.
  • Key technical indicators and resistance levels point towards continued downward pressure on Hyperliquid’s price.
  • Investors should remain cautious and consult financial advisors due to the high unpredictability and volatility associated with cryptocurrency markets.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-18 15:02:55

In the unpredictable world of cryptocurrency, Hyperliquid has captured significant attention due to its recent price trends and projected declines. Currently trading at $24.71, Hyperliquid is set to undergo a substantial depreciation to an estimated $19.46 by December 22, 2025. This forecast represents a notable downturn of -22.76% within a brief five-day window, fueling a bearish sentiment among investors and market analysts alike.

Current Market Overview

Hyperliquid, recognized by its ticker HYPE, has been navigating turbulent waters over the past few months. The recent market performance paints a stark picture: a 34.66% decrease over the last 30 days, expanding to a broader loss of 57.88% over the past three months. A year-to-year analysis also suggests a declining trajectory, with a minor dip of approximately -8.15%.

This disheartening performance is further reflected in the coin’s struggle to keep up with the overall cryptocurrency market. For instance, the global crypto market cap fell by 8.01%, marginally less than Hyperliquid’s 8.26% decrease in just the past 24 hours. Hyperliquid’s unfavorable comparison against Bitcoin, with a 6.34% loss, highlights the coin’s struggle in maintaining its ground.

Historical Perspective and Sentiment Analysis

Hyperliquid’s journey is marked by significant volatility. The coin reached its all-time high on September 18, 2025, peaking at $59.31. Yet, the current cycle’s high stands at $24.89, with a lower limit of $24.69. The dramatic fall from grace is indicative of the inherent volatility associated with Hyperliquid, a common characteristic within the volatile crypto ecosystem.

Currently, investor sentiment surrounding Hyperliquid is largely pessimistic. The Fear & Greed index, a crucial measure of market sentiment among crypto investors, has plummeted to an “Extreme Fear” level of 16. Such levels imply that investors are wary, often perceiving the market regardless of the specific asset, as oversold. This environment could possibly set the stage for potential opportunities for those looking to capitalize on discounted prices, albeit with caution.

Hyperliquid’s Technical Analysis

An examination of Hyperliquid’s technical patterns reveals key insights into its performance. The coin’s observed support levels at $26.06, $25.35, and $24.57 are critical to its stability. Conversely, the resistance thresholds at $27.54, $28.32, and $29.03 act as pivotal barriers that Hyperliquid needs to breach for recovering its footing.

Bearish Signals Predominant

The technical analysis as of December 17, 2025, reiterates the overwhelming bearish outlook for Hyperliquid. Out of various technical indicators evaluated, 85% unfavorably predict a bearish trajectory for HYPE. Despite four indicators hinting at potential bullish conditions, 23 consistently signal a bearish future, underscoring challenges in reversing the current trend without substantial market shifts.

The array of technical indicators presents a stark narrative: Daily Simple Moving Averages (SMA) and Daily Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) across most short- to medium-term periods strongly advise selling practices. Notably, the daily MA10 and MA21 prices linger above selling suggestions, illustrating an entrenched bearish pattern over the past weeks. These averages predict continued downward last for HYPE unless a substantial reversal occurs in market sentiment.

Oscillators and Directional Indicators

Several oscillators provide a nuanced perspective on Hyperliquid’s price action. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), sitting at 33.89, is currently viewed as neutral but approaches oversold territory. This marginal margin can indicate either an impending correction or further declines, depending on the broader market climate.

Other oscillators, like the Stoch RSI and Williams Percent Range, lean more towards a buying suggestion, which could imply a respite or slight recovery in Hyperliquid’s relentless descent. Nevertheless, directional indicators such as the Average Directional Index (ADX) at 31.36 maintain a sell stance, signaling continued downward trends.

Navigating the Fear & Greed Index

The Fear & Greed index remains precariously low at “Extreme Fear,” suggesting that the broader crypto market is exhibiting anxiety among investors. This measure of sentiment, while daunting, could also propose potential entry points. Historically, an environment dominated by fear often ushers in opportunities for risk-tolerant investors to accumulate assets at lower average costs.

Understanding the implications of this index is crucial. While extreme fear can lead some to hastily divest, it can paradoxically prove lucrative for strategic investors who anticipate inevitable market rebounds. As Hyperliquid navigates this adverse stage, investors must meticulously evaluate the risk-reward landscape.

Potential Implications for Investors

The near-term outlook for Hyperliquid resonates with heightened risk. Approximately an anticipated -22.76% decrease in value by December 22, 2025, leaves many investors cautiously weighing their options. The coin’s present underperformance relative to the broader market paints a challenging arena where strategic patience and prudence becomes invaluable.

Future price forecasts underscore the unpredictability inherent to crypto markets. The volatility that characterizes Hyperliquid should serve as a cue for investors to proceed meticulously, ensuring that potential decisions are guided by informed strategies rather than speculative urges. Diversified portfolios and risk mitigation tactics should remain top-of-mind for those maneuvering the Hyperliquid landscape.

The Path Forward

As Hyperliquid navigates its current phase, stakeholders must delve beyond immediate market sentiment to predict future possibilities. A comprehensive understanding of Hyperliquid’s role in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, including its technological underpinnings, market visibility, and investor sentiment, will prove invaluable.

Investors equipped with detailed insights and balanced strategies will be better positioned to navigate the road ahead. As the crypto narrative unfolds, adaptability, foresight, and informed decision-making will remain invaluable tenets for investors engaging with Hyperliquid.

FAQs

What is Hyperliquid’s projected price by December 22, 2025?

Hyperliquid is expected to fall to approximately $19.46 by December 22, 2025. This prediction entails a -22.76% decrease over a short five-day period.

How has Hyperliquid’s performance compared to Bitcoin?

In recent trading sessions, Hyperliquid has significantly underperformed compared to Bitcoin, recording a loss of 6.34% against the leading cryptocurrency.

How does the Fear & Greed index impact Hyperliquid’s market outlook?

A low rating of 16 on the Fear & Greed index signals “Extreme Fear” within the market, indicating cautious investor sentiment and potential high volatility for Hyperliquid.

Are there any bullish signals for Hyperliquid?

While the majority of technical indicators are bearish, a few oscillators such as the Stoch RSI and Williams Percent Range imply potential buying opportunities, though they should be considered cautiously.

What key support and resistance levels are critical for Hyperliquid?

Support levels for Hyperliquid are noted at $26.06, $25.35, and $24.57. Conversely, resistance is placed at $27.54, $28.32, and $29.03, crucial for any recovery efforts.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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