How China’s Strengthening Yuan Could Benefit Bitcoin

By: crypto insight|2025/12/17 23:30:10
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Key Takeaways

  • The Chinese yuan has climbed to its peak in over two months, exhibiting a potential impact on global markets, including Bitcoin.
  • Historically, the yuan’s fluctuations have had minimal direct influence on Bitcoin prices, but indirect effects through macroeconomic channels are observable.
  • A stronger yuan may enable China to implement economic stimulus strategies more effectively, possibly making cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin, more attractive investments.
  • Intervention from the People’s Bank of China could further influence global currency trends, indirectly benefiting Bitcoin.
  • Ongoing economic conditions and policies from countries like Japan, Australia, and the U.S. will play a role in shaping the cryptocurrency market dynamics.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-17 15:02:18

The Yuan’s Climb and Bitcoin’s Dance

The rising tides of the global economy have brought the Chinese yuan to a noteworthy high against the dollar, reaching its most substantial level since early October. As of now, the yuan stands at 7.043 per dollar, marking a robust journey from its low of 7.3504 per dollar in April, achieving a 4% strengthening from that point. While the direct linkage between the yuan’s movements and Bitcoin’s price is not decisively documented, the possibility of indirect effects through economic channels is intriguing.

Cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, are often sensitive to fluctuations in major currencies, capital flows, and macroeconomic policies worldwide. As the yuan gains strength, there looms a question: could this shift spell a positive turn for Bitcoin? At a price of $87,018.43, Bitcoin continues to be a focal point for investors looking to hedge against traditional market shifts.

Economic Implications of a Stronger Yuan

Historically, there’s been a notion that when the yuan weakens, Chinese investors may move funds into digital assets like Bitcoin to seek security against their currency’s devaluation. This belief, however, hasn’t consistently been backed by empirical data. Nevertheless, the current strengthening of the yuan might set a different stage. According to the LondonCryptoClub, an expert in cryptocurrency insights, the bolstered yuan could enhance Bitcoin’s outlook significantly.

This upward trend in the yuan could catalyze economic activity by making imports less expensive and mitigating domestic inflation pressures. This scenario presents an opportunity for the Chinese government to apply economic stimuli more confidently, addressing internal economic concerns such as deflationary spirals. The narrative of potential economic stimulus joins the present discourse, especially as recent data has shown disappointing retail sales and corporate investment figures, prompting renewed calls for government action.

China’s Prospective Stimulus and Cryptocurrencies

The possibility of economic interventions by China, prompted by a stronger yuan, holds ramifications for global markets. As borrowing costs in regions like Japan and Australia face potential increases, China’s economic policies could provide a counterbalance. Additionally, any throttling of rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve could similarly pivot investor attention toward riskier assets, such as cryptocurrencies.

Investors eyeing cryptocurrencies as high-reward alternatives might see new opportunities unfolding. In the landscape of these global fiscal maneuvers, Bitcoin could become an appealing option, especially if additional liquidity is injected into the market. A robust yuan, aligned with strategic economic policies, might thus herald a conducive environment for investment in digital currencies.

Foreign Exchange Dynamics: Bitcoin and the Yuan

Beyond economic stimulus, the shifting reserves of currencies present another dimension to the interaction between the yuan and Bitcoin. An unwavering rise in the yuan might prompt the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) to take steps to moderate its appreciation. By purchasing dollars, they might attempt to maintain a balanced currency mix in their vast reserves, which encompass major global currencies.

These operations could inadvertently drive the dollar’s value down, making dollar-denominated assets like Bitcoin more attractive. An increased supply of dollars—from strategic purchases—could lower the dollar index, fostering broader financial liquidity. This dynamic could, in turn, signal a favorable setting for cryptocurrencies by reducing the attractiveness of more conventional, stable investments such as government bonds.

The Ripple Effect of Currency Interventions

Such foreign exchange interventions effectively mean printing more yuan to buy dollars. This surplus of dollars does not remain stagnant but is strategically used to interact with other key currency markets, maintaining a stable international reserve standing. This dynamic not only has the potential to weaken the dollar but also signals a potential easing of financial conditions globally.

In this setting, Bitcoin might find itself buoyed by increased liquidity in the system. The cumulative effect could enhance Bitcoin’s appeal, as more fluid market conditions generally encourage investment in higher-risk assets that promise potentially higher returns.

Upcoming Challenges and Opportunities for Bitcoin

The coming weeks are poised as a crucial period for Bitcoin as it seeks equilibrium after a recent downturn. The yuan’s current trajectory suggests a macroeconomic climate filled with both opportunities and challenges. Bitcoin’s ability to capitalize on these global financial shifts is part of the ongoing narrative in its volatile journey.

Broader Market Context

Broader market developments, including technological advancements and shifts in AI infrastructure—like Hut 8’s recent partnership with Google—are also transforming the crypto-investment landscape. Furthermore, as organizations explore more privacy-centric blockchain technologies, like the Canton Network, the interplay of global finance and digital currency continues to evolve.

The continuous emergence of new markets and financial technologies not only dictates Bitcoin’s future but also steers the digital realm toward adapting to these changes. Particularly, as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin attract investors looking to diversify portfolios amidst discussions of economic stimulus and policy shifts, currency fluctuations remain a palpable influence.

Conclusion: Navigating the Currency and Crypto Nexus

In conclusion, while the yuan’s current strengthening trend may not have a direct cause-and-effect relationship with Bitcoin prices, the underlying macroeconomic implications could well shape Bitcoin’s landscape in favorable ways. Through economic stimulus and the potential broadening of foreign-exchange market operations, the matrix between fiat currencies and cryptocurrencies is undeniably intricate and significant.

The essential narrative here is about understanding how central bank policies, international economic strategies, and market liquidity can, and often do, intersect with the fate of cryptocurrencies. As investors and policymakers look to adjust strategies amidst these moving parts, Bitcoin stands as a symbol of the unfolding digital financial frontier.


FAQ

How does the strengthening yuan affect Bitcoin prices?

While there isn’t a direct correlation established between the yuan’s strength and Bitcoin’s prices, a stronger yuan can influence economic policies in ways that might impact Bitcoin indirectly. For example, a robust yuan may allow for economic stimulus in China, affecting investment flows into cryptocurrencies.

Why does a weaker dollar benefit Bitcoin?

A weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated assets more appealing as it increases purchasing power and liquidity in the market. This environment can lead to increased investment in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, which are seen as alternative assets.

What role does the People’s Bank of China play in this dynamic?

The People’s Bank of China could intervene in foreign exchange markets to moderate the yuan’s strength by purchasing dollars. This action can weaken the dollar index, potentially benefiting dollar-priced assets such as Bitcoin.

Is there historical evidence that a weaker yuan pushes capital into Bitcoin?

Though speculated for years, concrete evidence of Chinese capital flowing directly into Bitcoin due to yuan fluctuations remains scant. However, wider macroeconomic effects can still influence market perceptions and investment behavior.

How might future Chinese stimulus affect Bitcoin markets?

Chinese economic stimulus, by easing conditions and supporting financial markets, might drive more investors toward riskier assets like Bitcoin. Such shifts are part of a broader investment trend where liquidity and growth strategies significantly impact market sentiments.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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