Crypto Sentiment Holds ‘Extreme Fear’ For 14th Straight Day

By: crypto insight|2025/12/26 18:30:08
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Key Takeaways

  • Crypto market sentiment remained in “extreme fear” for two consecutive weeks, a period longer than seen during FTX’s 2022 crash.
  • Bitcoin’s price hovers nearly 30% below its all-time high, despite the Crypto Fear & Greed Index reaching new lows.
  • Crypto search volumes on platforms like Google and Wikipedia have significantly declined, indicating waning retail interest.
  • Traditional finance investors are still engaging with the crypto market, as reflected by the increase in crypto-related ETF inflows.
  • Economists and analysts attribute market fear to geopolitical tensions, potential interest rate changes, and previous market fiascoes.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-26 10:17:13

In the world of cryptocurrencies, market sentiment can be as volatile as the assets themselves. Recently, this sentiment has been overwhelmingly negative, as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index plummeted to distressing levels of “extreme fear.” For 14 straight days, the index has depicted a grim picture of the crypto market’s collective psyche. This period marks one of the longest streaks of fear since the index’s inception in 2018.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a tool used to gauge market sentiment, has fallen to a mere 20 out of 100. This score is notably lower than during the infamous FTX collapse in late 2022, a time when confidence in the crypto sector was severely tested. Yet, despite Bitcoin’s trading value being approximately five times what it was back then, the market’s pulse is almost eerily pessimistic. Such an unrelenting streak of apprehension amplifies questions about what drives the market mood beyond mere valuation metrics.

Factors Fueling the Fear: Economic Concerns and Past Traumas

Several factors have contributed to this stark plunge into fear territory. Firstly, the economic backdrop remains fraught with uncertainties. The US-China tariff tensions, which flared up in early October, played a substantial role in dragging down the market. This geopolitical strife erased nearly $500 billion in value, shaking investor confidence to its core. Further exacerbating these conditions are speculations concerning the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Jeff Mei, the COO of crypto exchange BTSE, has cautioned that the cessation of rate cuts by the Fed in the first quarter of 2026 could see Bitcoin’s price dwindle to $70,000.

As of now, Bitcoin’s price hovers around $88,650, a stark departure from its lofty peak of $126,080 reached in early October. While the $88,650 mark dwarfs its nadir in the wake of the 2022 FTX debacle, the repetitive reminders of market volatility have instilled a lingering sense of trepidation. The index’s methodology, which factors in market volatility, trading volume, social media sentiment, trends, and Bitcoin’s market dominance, illustrates that confidence has not fully recovered since FTX’s downfall.

The Decline of Crypto Enthusiasm: Search Volumes Tell a Tale

Beyond valuation metrics, the downturn in market sentiment finds reflection in diminished search volumes on platforms such as Google and Wikipedia. Alphractal, a prominent data analytics platform, has highlighted a stark decline in crypto-related searches, signaling that retail investors are pulling away. This decline in social volume is reminiscent of conditions seen during prolonged bear markets, suggesting that December 2025 embodies such a period of investor apathy.

Retail investors’ disengagement is further highlighted by the absence of robust online discussions. In an industry that thrives on communities and collective enthusiasm, the quiet across forums is loud. Retail investors, battered by past incidents including the abrupt FTX collapse, the turbulence of the memecoin debacle, and the unfulfilled promises of altcoin breakouts, appear to be retreating.

Bitwise Insights: Traditional Finance Investors Surging Ahead

Despite the retreat of “crypto-native retail” participants, there exists an interesting dichotomy in investment patterns. Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan sheds light on this phenomenon, pointing out that “crypto-native retail” is disenchanted and sidelined. Contrastingly, traditional finance (TradFi) investors are exhibiting a sustained interest in the crypto world.

According to Hougan, TradFi investors, like his own family members, show a growing interest in crypto assets. Over the last couple of years, spot crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows have experienced a significant uptick. In the face of a general market decline, these ETFs have accumulated over $25 billion in inflows throughout 2025, showing a 5% loss in value year-to-date. Such numbers demonstrate that while one section of the investing populace retreats, another sees opportunity—a testament to the complex dynamics within the crypto ecosystem.

The Past as a Precursor: Understanding Current Sentiment

The crypto market’s current state cannot be fully grasped without reflecting on past traumas. The FTX incident still looms large in the collective investor memory. In the tumultuous wake of its collapse, Bitcoin’s value plummeted to around $16,000, hurting many who had hoped for a prosperous future. The market’s recovery was slow, and just as confidence began to rebuild, renewed economic tensions rattled investors once more.

The memecoin craze of past years, though initially profitable for some, ended up hurting a large segment of retail investors. The association of crypto projects with quick, volatile gains resulted in disillusionment when the expected altcoin season failed to materialize. The liquidation event on October 10 further exacerbated the market’s tumult, leaving investors shell-shocked and skeptical.

The Ever-Persistent Search for Stability

For the crypto market to evolve from its current state of “extreme fear,” several factors must align. A de-escalation of global economic tensions, particularly US-China relations, could renew investor confidence. Additionally, clear policy signals from central banks would provide much-needed ground for financial maneuvers, allowing traders to strategize with confidence rather than react out of fear.

Institutional confidence, too, hinges on structural advancements within the market. Ensuring the security and transparency of crypto exchanges, illustrated, for instance, by the tumult surrounding FTX, will play a crucial role. Reinforcing investor protection through regulations and robust security measures can not only prevent future debacles but also assure stakeholders of the market’s integrity and viability.

Yet, even amidst these uncertainties and challenges, certain elements of the crypto industry exhibit resilience. Innovative products and ideas continue to flow, ensuring that interest from institutional players and spot ETFs does not wan. This balancing act between fear and hope defines the current crypto landscape.

Bridging the Divide: A Future Outlook

As the crypto market wades through its current state of stagnation, a reshaped investor landscape is emerging. The rise of TradFi investors into the crypto arena presents both a challenge and an opportunity. It challenges the existing paradigms, as traditional strategies and expectations are brought into an arena accustomed to high volatility and rapid change.

At the same time, it presents an opportunity to further legitimize and stabilize the cryptocurrency market. Increased participation from traditional investors, who often seek more reliable financial instruments, can encourage a maturation of crypto-related products and trading practices. As more traditional investors, like ETFs, stake their claim, they inevitably bring with them standards that could spur greater industry-wide reforms.

But as always, the defining characteristics of the crypto industry—its decentralization, innovation, and risk—will continue to be its bedrock. The path forward involves harmonizing these elements with evolving economic realities to offer a robust value proposition.

Conclusion: The Dance Between Fear and Potential

While unwavering fear seems to grip the crypto market today, it is but one side of the story. As investor sentiment ebbs and flows, so too does the market’s potential. Economists underline that these cycles are natural, and it takes a multitude of strategies to navigate through them effectively. Whether it is through more strategic stakeholder engagement, economic stability, or enhanced product offerings, steps can be taken to reassure and reinvigorate the market.

Ultimately, the cryptocurrency sector persists in its dual promise of risk and reward. With an ever-increasing global footprint and dynamic growth prospects, the promise of greater financial inclusion remains deeply alluring. By tackling prevailing fears with innovation and rational investment strategies, the crypto industry can continue to chart new growth stories beyond the horizon of today’s uncertainties.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Crypto Fear & Greed Index?

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is a metric that measures the overall sentiment of the cryptocurrency market, based on factors like market volatility, trading volume, and social media sentiment.

How did the US-China tariff tensions affect the crypto market?

The US-China tariff tensions sparked fears of global economic instability, leading to a substantial decrease in market value, wiping out nearly $500 billion from the crypto market.

Why are traditional finance investors moving into crypto?

Traditional finance investors see cryptocurrency as an opportunity for diversification and high returns. The growing stability in certain segments, such as crypto ETFs, attracts these investors who seek a blend of risk and innovation.

How did the FTX collapse impact investor sentiment?

The FTX collapse severely damaged trust within the crypto market, leading to significant price drops and an extended period of low market confidence. Traders have since been cautious, affecting overall sentiment.

What trends could drive future crypto market recovery?

Future recovery could be driven by geopolitical stability, clear banking policies, advancements in cryptocurrency infrastructure, and institutional adoption that brings more credibility and security to the market.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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