Blockchains Quietly Brace for Quantum Threats while Bitcoin Engages in Timeline Debate

By: crypto insight|2025/12/26 18:30:08
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Key Takeaways:

  • Diverse blockchains are proactively exploring quantum-resistant technologies, unlike Bitcoin, where consensus on quantum threat response is divided.
  • Ethereum, led by Vitalik Buterin, emphasizes preemptive strategies to tackle quantum risks, citing substantial potential impacts.
  • Bitcoin faces discord on addressing quantum vulnerabilities, balancing practical threat timelines with the need to maintain investor confidence.
  • Altcoins like Solana and Aptos are running quantum-resistant tests, signaling preparedness without forcing immediate widespread changes.
  • The discourse around quantum computing underscores long-term trust management within blockchain networks and related investor sentiments.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-26 10:17:14

The dynamic world of blockchain technology is evolving as major players prepare for potential threats posed by advances in quantum computing. While today’s quantum computers lack the capacity to breach cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, their future potential cannot be understated. Various altcoin blockchains are actively seeking ways to mitigate quantum risks well in advance, a foresight that contrasts with Bitcoin’s internal debate over addressing the urgency and implications of such threats.

How Blockchains Are Proactively Addressing Quantum Computing

Ethereum has taken a pragmatic approach, treating the threat of quantum computing as a tangible engineering challenge rather than dismissing it as a distant improbability. Co-founder Vitalik Buterin maintains that even when the probability of such a threat seems low, the high stakes of failure make early preparation critical. According to Buterin, there’s about a 20% chance that quantum machines capable of undermining today’s cryptographic defenses could emerge by 2030, with a central estimate around 2040. He acknowledges that while no such machines currently exist to compromise Bitcoin or Ethereum, the critical nature of global system migration to post-quantum protocols necessitates timely action.

This proactive stance by Ethereum has resonated within the broader blockchain community, wherein altcoin platforms are experimenting with new protections. For example, Aptos has suggested incorporating post-quantum signature support at the account level. This measure functions as an elective upgrade, preserving existing accounts while enabling users to adopt new, more secure signature schemes independently. Notably, this initiative is touted as a protective measure instead of a response to imminent danger.

Similarly, Solana has been exploring quantum-resistant approaches by testing these signatures in collaboration with post-quantum security firms. Through dedicated test networks, they aim to evaluate whether such quantum-proof solutions can be seamlessly integrated without compromising performance or compatibility, solidifying their commitment to future security as a core operational tenet.

Trust Issues at the Core of Bitcoin’s Quantum Debate

In the sphere of Bitcoin, however, the discourse is more polarized. The cryptocurrency mainly relies on elliptic curve cryptography for securing ownership, where control over coins is maintained via private keys. While these private keys remain safe today, the prospective use of quantum computers could allow attackers to extract these keys from public ones through algorithms like Shor’s. This would potentially enable unauthorized transactions without raising alerts.

Bitcoin’s community is divided on how to respond to these quantum threats, which are perceived as distant and uncertain yet potentially catastrophic. On one hand, key developers and cryptographers insist that amplifying quantum anxieties could result in undue panic. Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream, has argued adamantly against giving urgency to quantum risks, suggesting that any practical quantum threat is still decades away. His view is that preemptive fear-mongering could destabilize the market by pricing in non-existent threats.

Contrastingly, investors and researchers stress even the remote possibility of quantum threats needing address. They argue that dismissing these concerns might harm long-term asset confidence, which, in turn, affects Bitcoin’s value. These worries are compounded by recent data evidencing Bitcoin’s pricing struggles—a decline of 24% over the past quarter, partly attributed to such dismissal by influential players. Castle Island Ventures’ Nic Carter described this outright rejection of potential risks by prominent figures as an impediment to Bitcoin’s bullish potential.

Moreover, experts like Craig Warmke from the Bitcoin Policy Institute warn that perceived complacency could drive investors to seek alternative assets irrespective of the technical validity of the fears.

Why Bitcoin’s Approach to Quantum Uncertainty is Pivotal

Quantum computing’s current inability to disrupt Bitcoin hasn’t prevented the ripple effect of its perceived threat from altering how blockchain networks approach future security discussions. While altcoins adopt preventative frameworks, ensuring preparedness without altering current security paradigms, Bitcoin’s approach is scrutinized under a spotlight of reliability.

The conversation around quantum computing transcends technical solutions; it fundamentally affects investor confidence. For Bitcoin, the reliance on long-term security guarantees ties the quantum debate directly to economic trust and stability. Here, discussions on improving cryptographic resilience are more than just hypotheticals—they reflect on Bitcoin’s perceived solidity.

Both critics and proponents within its community agree on managing how far-out threats are communicated. While emphasizing distant threats might lead to misinformation and provoke systemic unease, underestimating them might breed disdain and foster negative perceptions about contingency preparedness.

To that end, proposals like BIP 360—aiming to incorporate quantum-resistant signatures—provoke mixed reactions. While some champion it as preemptive preparedness, others view it as acknowledgment of potentially destabilizing speculative threats.

The Future of Blockchain Amid Quantum Computing’s Evolution

The ongoing quest to fortify blockchain technology against potential quantum computing threats showcases the adaptive nature of this burgeoning sector. Quantum threat discourse has enabled technology developers to seamlessly blend tech advancements with future-proofing strategies, ensuring cohesive operations while protecting digital assets against unforeseen vulnerabilities.

While traditionally seen as disparate concerns, diverse blockchains are employing a unified approach where experimentation leads innovation, pushing the boundaries of cryptographic security further. Discussions about managing quantum risks underscore an unyielding commitment to preserving core blockchain values, and by extension, sustaining investor trust.

Ultimately, the resolution of the quantum debate rests as much on preparedness and technological adaptation as it does on managing perceptions. For investors, developers, and markets alike, the quantum era, while not yet upon us, foreshadows the inevitability that cryptography will continue to evolve alongside it, embracing change and innovation in synchrony.


Frequently Asked Questions

How do quantum computers threaten blockchain security?

Quantum computers pose a potential threat to blockchain security by possessing the theoretical capability to break traditional cryptographic systems. They could achieve this through algorithms capable of extracting private keys from public keys, allowing unauthorized transactions.

Why is there debate over Bitcoin’s approach to quantum threats?

The debate centers on how urgently Bitcoin should address quantum risks. While some dismiss the threat as distant, others stress that even low-probability outcomes require preparation to maintain confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term security.

Are there any blockchain platforms already testing quantum-resistant technologies?

Yes, platforms like Solana and Aptos are actively exploring quantum-resistant technologies by running dedicated test networks. These initiatives aim to integrate post-quantum solutions without compromising current system performance.

What is Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 360?

Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 360 is a proposal designed to incorporate quantum-resistant signatures into the system. It aims to proactively address potential quantum threats by adding an additional layer of cryptographic security.

How does Ethereum plan for quantum computing challenges?

Ethereum treats quantum computing risks as real engineering problems requiring proactive measures. Co-founder Vitalik Buterin emphasizes early preparation to avoid high costs associated with delayed responses when transitioning to quantum-resistant schemes.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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